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AN OPERATING NOTEBOOK

I build in Asia-Pacific, then write down what it taught me.

For three years I ran Pudgy Penguins APAC and invested in companies like Halogen Capital across the region. Now I build the next thing in public, and publish my journey and lessons here.

THOUGHTS

one idea, most days

The Road Nobody Charges For

The most important thing India built in the last decade isn’t a company. It’s a road, and the fact that it’s free is the whole point.

If you pay for something in India now, you probably use UPI. You scan a code, the money moves, and it costs you nothing. It is so ordinary there that it’s invisible, which is exactly how you know it worked. In December 2025 it processed around 21.6 billion transactions in a single month. It is, by a wide margin, the largest real-time payments system on earth, and a street vendor uses it as casually as a bank does.

Now here’s the question worth sitting with. The technology to build UPI is not secret. Any wealthy country could have built it years earlier. So why didn’t they, and why can’t they easily copy it now?

The answer isn’t engineering. It’s incentives, and this is where it gets interesting.

In most rich countries, moving money is a business. When you tap a card, a toll of a percent or two gets skimmed off the top and split between a card network and a bank. It’s small enough that you never feel it and large enough that, multiplied across every swipe in an economy, it funds skyscrapers. That toll is not a bug in the system. To the companies that collect it, it is the system. It’s the product.

You cannot ask an industry to volunteer for its own demolition. A country with a mature, profitable card economy has, sitting at every table where this decision gets made, powerful people whose job is to protect the toll. Free public payment rails aren’t a feature to them. They’re an extinction event. So the rails don’t get built, not because no one can, but because the people who could all have a reason not to.

India had something rich countries had lost: it had almost nothing to protect. Most Indians never got the card economy in the first place. There was no fat interchange business to defend, no incumbent whose profits you’d be dynamiting. The absence of a lucrative old system is what made a better new one politically possible. That is a strange and underrated kind of advantage, the freedom of having nothing to lose.

And payments were only the first layer. UPI sits on top of a digital identity system, and underneath a growing stack of public infrastructure for things like lending and data sharing. India treated the plumbing of a modern economy the way most countries treat roads and water: as something you build once, for everyone, and let private companies compete on top of. Not a product to be owned. A commons to be used.

I want to be honest about the other side of this, because the triumphant version of this story skips it. Free is never actually free. Someone bears the cost of running rails at this scale, and the question of who pays, and whether that’s sustainable, is real and unresolved. The system is showing stress as volume climbs. Concentrating a nation’s payments into public infrastructure creates single points of failure that a messier, more fragmented system wouldn’t have. A road everyone depends on is also a road everyone is exposed to when it cracks. None of that is a reason it was the wrong call. It’s a reminder that “build it as a commons” is the beginning of the hard problems, not the end of them.

But step back from the mechanics and the lesson is bigger than payments, and it travels.

The most valuable thing a country can build is often the thing it refuses to charge for. And the reason wealthy countries so rarely build those things is the same reason they can’t easily copy the ones that get built elsewhere: their most profitable industries are frequently toll booths on top of problems that could simply be solved. Solving the problem for free would be progress for everyone and ruin for someone specific, and that someone specific usually has a seat at the table.

So the next time a technology looks obvious and no rich country has built it, don’t assume it’s hard. Ask who’s getting paid for it staying broken.

That’s usually the whole story.

JULY 15, 2026

CALLS

COMING SOONTimestamped predictions, starting now. Each call will link to the original post, so the date is public and provable. The record builds from here.

POSITIONS

COMING SOONWhat I believe right now, with a confidence level and the one thing that would change my mind. Publishing the first set soon.

GUIDES

COMING SOONLong, free, evidence-led guides. Written once, updated as I learn. The first ones publish soon.

BUILDING

Hover any one for the story. The live ones link out.

LIVE03
Pengu.fun
Greater Malaysia
Notes
UPCOMING03
Smallworld
Flexs
Superbio
REDACTED03
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Internal 01
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Internal 02
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Internal 03

THE STACK

COMING SOONThe tools I actually run on, worth doing properly. Publishing the full stack soon.

BUY IT FOR LIFE

COMING SOONThings bought once and kept for decades. The list is worth getting right. Coming soon.

LEARNING LIST

COMING SOONEssays and talks worth your hour. Curating the list properly. Coming soon.

MORE ABOUT ME

Smallworld.chatJuly 2026Ship closed beta
Pengu.funJuly 2026Shipped pengu token portal for holders
Greater MalaysiaJune 2026Shipped open data platform about Malaysia
THE DAILY THOUGHT

One idea, most days, by email. No roundup, no funnel.

REACH ME

What’s this about? Pick one and I’ll point you to the right door.

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